Last updated on September 13, 2024
Chinese electric vehicle start-up NIO faced a second-quarter financial performance that fell short of expectations, contributing to a cautious market sentiment. Surprisingly, however, the stock exhibited a positive trajectory, primarily due to optimistic projections for the upcoming third quarter.
In its recent earnings report, NIO disclosed an adjusted loss of 45 cents per share for the second quarter, alongside sales totaling $1.2 billion. While Wall Street had anticipated a per-share loss of approximately 33 cents from sales amounting to $1.3 billion, as per Bloomberg’s data.
The disparity in estimated losses, aggregated by FactSet, slightly exceeded the projected value, measuring at 41 cents per share. Sales estimates were congruent across sources. It’s worth noting that FactSet, an amalgamation of five data points, diverged from Bloomberg’s utilization of nine estimates.
Turning attention to the future, NIO anticipates delivering 55,000 to 57,000 units during the third quarter. This outlook surpassed Wall Street’s initial expectation of around 50,000 units.
Notably, NIO’s performance was comparably subdued in the preceding quarter, with approximately 23,500 units delivered—a slight dip from the second quarter of 2022’s 25,000 units.
Upon the earnings announcement, the stock displayed an immediate positive response, with a nearly 3% increase. This favorable movement mirrored the modest uptick in S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite futures, which each rose by about 0.1%.
This development remains fluid, with ongoing updates to be anticipated. Further insights into NIO’s earnings are available in the preview provided below.
As NIO, a Chinese EV trailblazer, discloses its second-quarter financials, the spotlight extends beyond mere financial figures. Amid inquiries concerning competition, demand, pricing strategies, and the broader Chinese economy, investors’ interests encompass a broader spectrum.
While investors’ attention encompasses various aspects, the initial focus is placed on financial metrics. According to Bloomberg, Wall Street foresees an anticipated per-share loss of approximately 33 cents alongside sales totaling $1.3 billion.
FactSet’s cumulative loss estimate moderately exceeds expectations, measuring at 41 cents per share. Sales projections remain consistent across sources, given the alignment between FactSet’s synthesis of five datasets and Bloomberg’s reliance on nine estimates.
In comparison to the previous year, NIO’s reported adjusted loss of 19 cents per share from sales totaling $1.5 billion highlights a year-over-year decline. The decrease in sales can be attributed to a corresponding decrease in deliveries, with approximately 23,500 units delivered during the second quarter—slightly lower than the 25,000 units delivered in the same period of 2022.
Optimism looms for the third quarter, with a notable surge anticipated. Bolstered by the popularity of the ES6 SUV introduced in May 2023, NIO recorded a substantial delivery of 20,462 units in July, crossing the 10,000-unit threshold.
Market expectations for the third quarter remain around 50,000 units, a target seemingly attainable based on July’s promising performance.
Critical insights into NIO’s delivery forecast offer a glimpse into the company’s overall trajectory and echo the broader narrative of electric vehicle demand within China.
While battery-electric vehicle demand registered a 25% surge year-over-year during the initial seven months, August’s marginal year-over-year decline hints at shifting trends.
In response to the weakening demand, Chinese EV manufacturers, including Tesla, have opted to adjust prices for approximately 25 models in August.
The decline in sales, coupled with diminished demand, has understandably exerted pressure on investor sentiment. Over the past year, NIO shares experienced a decline of around 45%, with a more recent dip of approximately 28% over the past month. In stark contrast, the S&P 500 index posted an approximate 10% gain over the past year, offset by a 4% drop within the last month.
To provide deeper insights, NIO’s management will convene a conference call at 8 a.m. Eastern time, addressing a plethora of issues affecting the company’s performance. Analysts and investors are keen to gain insights into key factors including deliveries, demand dynamics, and the evolving landscape of the Chinese economy.
(Source: Barron’s)
